![]() As Fitz pointed out, planning for the Texans is simple because they are comically bad at defending the run (the Texans have allowed 147 more rushing yards than the team that has allowed the 31st-most rushing yards in the league, and that team, the Packers, has played a full extra game!). Short work weeks are tough on recovery and game planning, two elements that are a relative strength for the deep, in-form Eagles and a relative weakness for the Texans. I don't necessarily like laying double digits, so there's a few ways I'm playing Eagles -3 first quarter (-120), Eagles -4 second quarter (-105), Eagles -7.5 first half (-110), Eagles over 29.5 points. ![]() So Phillip Dorsett will potentially be Davis Mills' top option in the passing game. The Eagles' defense got epically better with the addition of Robert Quinn, whereas the Texans are now dealing with a disgruntled WR in Brandin Cooks (because he was not traded), and Nico Collins is dealing with a groin injury. I believe we are all in agreement that Philadelphia will roll. Marks: The short work week will not matter Thursday night. The Texans won't be competitive in this game on either side of the ball. Sure, large point spreads seem nerve wracking in the NFL, but in this instance this comes down to simple domination across the board. The Titans took the Raiders' rushing approach and put it into hyperdrive against this team last week, and it was so wildly successful we didn't even realize that Malik Willis was essentially asked to do nothing in that game. The Texans aren't just bad, they're also easy to game plan against. Play for free! | "Not Too Late" draft guideįitz: I'm actually with Doug on this one. There's still time to play Fantasy Basketball this season! With leagues tipping off every Monday, it's the perfect time to get started. I just don't feel comfortable laying two touchdowns. Then the Eagles fall off with an average of seven points in the second half. The Eagles have been great in the first half of games, leading the league with an average of 21 points scored and going 7-0 ATS. The first-half spread entices me, but I do not like the number at 7.5 as of now. Thank God for props!ĭolan: I am in agreement with Joe. And I'm not backing the Texans because they're the Texans. But I'm not laying double digits on the road in the NFL on a Thursday night. Because if you are reading this right now, you are thinking, "That's really weak, Fortenbaugh." I get it. ![]() I would prefer not to play this spread, but if I needed to, I would go with Houston.įortenbaugh: The side is a hard pass for me, which is the most pitiful answer possible. The DVOA gap between these teams is gigantic, but it's far from the biggest mismatch we've ever seen at this point in the season. Schatz: It's hard to take Houston against Philadelphia, but that 14-point line is about a point too rich for my blood. The Eagles are that dominant, and I feel that prime time helps them avoid a flat spot against an inferior opponent. As for this game, I would certainly lay the points before I took them. So I do not really care that Tampa Bay could not cover double digits against Carolina. ![]() ![]() I also think every season takes on an identity, and to me, this year we have three elite teams. We just saw that on Sunday night with Green Bay's cover in Buffalo. For example, the numbers 14 and 10 do matter. After all, we often discuss key numbers, so I believe that is more pertinent. Kezirian: Trends like this are good for context, but I would not blindly bet something with an arbitrary cutoff of double digits. Are you biting on the Texans to cover or laying the two TDs? Per our ESPN Stats & Information Group, home underdogs of 12 or more points are 7-1 ATS over the last two years. The undefeated Eagles travel to Houston to face the struggling Texans. Note: Lines from Caesars Sportsbook unless otherwise indicated. So what can we like rom a betting standpoint for Thursday night's game at NRG Stadium in Houston?īetting analysts Doug Kezirian, Tyler Fulghum, Joe Fortenbaugh, Anita Marks and Erin Dolan fantasy and sports betting analysts Eric Moody and Andre Snellings and ESPN Stats & Information's Seth Walder, ESPN analyst Jason Fitz and Football Outsiders' Aaron Schatz provide their top plays for the matchup. The game certainly seems like a mismatch on the field, but it's an entirely different story when it comes to potentially wagering on the game. A power hour that'll lift your soul and fill your heart from The Whiz to Soul Train this show has everything you need for a hot spring stretch.Week 9 of the NFL season gets started Thursday night with a matchup between the 7-0 Philadelphia Eagles (-14, 45) and a struggling 1-5-1 Houston Texans squad. So thick with Funk and 70's Soul this week stands out like no other. ![]()
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